Fragile Fundamentals Under the Strain of Global Crisis: Egypt’s Economy During and After COVID-19

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/fragile-fundamentals-under-the-strain-of-global-crisis-egypts-economy-during-and-after-covid-19/ It’s increasingly clear that the outbreak of COVID-19 will be devastating for the global economy. The IMF has declared that the economic fallout will be the worst...

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While GERD’s Reservoir Remains Empty, Tensions Rise in Dam Dispute

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/while-gerds-reservoir-remains-empty-tensions-rise-in-dam-dispute/ This past week, Ethiopia opted to skip what was billed as the final round of talks in Washington to resolve the dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Resolving the dispute over...

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Hardened and Brittle: Egypt’s Authoritarian Fragility

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link:  https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/hardened-and-brittle-egypts-authoritarian-fragility/ At the core of many states’ decisions to maintain close ties with Egypt’s ruling government and its president Abdel-Fattah El Sisi is their confidence in the strength and stability of his regime. At a time in...

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Egypt’s Economy: Neither Collapsing nor Thriving

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/egypts-economy-neither-collapsing-nor-thriving/ Earlier this summer, a pair of articles in Foreign Policy were published offering seemingly diametrically opposed views on Egypt’s economy. Yehia Hamed, investment minister under the late president Muhammad...

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Short-Term Stability in Exchange for Long-Term Fragility

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link:  https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/short-term-stability-in-exchange-for-long-term-fragility/ It’s no secret that European Union leaders have increasingly focused their attention on the Middle East on one priority: stemming if not stopping migration from the region. Following the surge in asylum...

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Doubling Down on Dictatorship

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/doubling-down-on-dictatorship/ In one of the least surprising political developments in Egypt since 2013, President Abdel-Fattah El Sisi’s allies are moving to amend Egypt’s constitution so that he can continue to rule the country until 2034. Since deposing...

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Egypt’s Sectarian Committee to Combat Sectarianism

Source: The Tahrir Institute for Middle East PolicyAuthor(s): Timothy E. KaldasOriginal Link: https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/egypts-sectarian-committee-to-combat-sectarianism/ In late December, Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El Sisi announced the formation of a committee to combat sectarianism in Egypt. On its face, Sisi’s decision is welcome, especially after a series of violent...

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Timothy E. Kaldas

Timothy E. Kaldas is a non-resident fellow at TIMEP focusing on political analysis. His research interests include transitional politics in Egypt, regime survival strategies, and US-Egyptian relations. Beyond Egypt, his research examines the social and political history of sectarianism in Iraq, US policy towards the Arab-Israeli conflict, and discrimination against Muslim Europeans...

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Egypt Charts Its Own Course, Regardless of Patronage

Source: The Tahrir Institute For Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/egypt-charts-its-own-course-regardless-of-patronage/ As the Middle East seems ever more embroiled in the rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran, and as world powers continue to jockey for influence, Egypt has often been portrayed in various analyses as beholden to its...

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Sink or Swim: Egypt’s Anticipated Currency Float

Source: The Tahrir Institute For Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/sink-or-swim-egypts-anticipated-currency-float/ Tarek Amer, the governor of the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE), announced in July that Egypt’s longstanding policy of defending the Egyptian pound (LE) against devaluation had been a “grave error.” The strategy had slowly...

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Tiran, Sanafir, and the Island of Executive Power in Egypt

Source: The Tahrir Institute For Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/tiran-sanafir-and-the-island-of-executive-power-in-egypt/ From an outside perspective, the transfer of the islands of Tiran and Sanafir to Saudi Arabian control may seem relatively uneventful. The Straits of Tiran can easily be controlled or defended from Sinai given how...

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Egypt’s Unenviable Economy

Source: The Tahrir Institute For Middle East Policy Author(s): Timothy E. Kaldas Original Link: https://timep.org/commentary/egypts-unenviable-economy/ Egypt’s economy is saddled with an array of complicated and interrelated challenges. The government is burdened with the unenviable task of addressing and overcoming these challenges in a weak global context for emerging economies. Unemployment...

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